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Forecasting

Know how much to trust the forecast before you buy against it.

A per-SKU forecast with its own track record. You see how accurate it has been on that SKU, so you know when to lean on it and when to use your judgement.

What it does

Capabilities

Forecasts are only useful to a buyer if they come with a sense of how reliable they are. Every forecast here is scored against what actually sold, per SKU, and that score is shown wherever the number is used.

Accuracy you can see

Each SKU shows realized forecast error over recent horizons. High-accuracy SKUs can be ordered against with confidence; low-accuracy ones are flagged for a closer look.

Seasonality without runaway trends

Seasonal patterns come from your full history; the trend comes from the recent period. Launches, stockouts, and price changes stop poisoning next quarter’s numbers.

Handles slow and lumpy sellers

Intermittent-demand SKUs get a method suited to them instead of a smoothed line that over-orders.

Forecast and reorder in one place

The forecast and its accuracy appear directly on the purchasing view, next to the suggested quantity it informs.

See Demand Forecasting on your own catalog.

How it's different

Built for buyers who've outgrown spreadsheets.

Transparent, not a black box

Classical statistical methods for the vast majority of SKUs — reproducible, auditable, explainable. Nothing you cannot check against your own history.

Scored against reality

Every forecast is compared to realized demand. You see, per SKU, whether the model has earned your trust.

For the technical reader: how demand forecasting works under the hood
  • Ensemble of AutoETS, AutoARIMA, AutoTheta, AutoCES, and MSTL; CrostonOptimized for intermittent SKUs.
  • Change-point detection: recent regime dominates fitting, full history drives the seasonal profile.
  • Method selection per SKU based on rolling realized APE stored in forecast_actuals.
  • A daily shadow run evaluates every candidate method on a sample so method selection improves continuously.
  • Runs on a dedicated batch worker with parallel SKU processing; integrated with buy-box share and stockout history for demand correction.

Read the documentation

Common questions

The questions purchasing teams ask before a demo.

See the purchasing workflow on a catalog like yours.

A 30-minute walkthrough with a product engineer. Your data stays yours.